21! (part 2)

Schedule analysis continued:

Utah
(regular season record against listed after team name):

New Orleans 1-0 (Utah won big)
@ Denver 0-1 (big, big game)
@ Sacramento 2-1 (team is coming back a bit)
Chicago 0-0 (still ugly)
@ Seattle 2-0 (can surprise, but bad)
Golden State 2-0 (will be a tough win, but Jazz are a better team)
@ LA Clippers 2-0 (should be 3-0)
Atlanta 0-1 (playing solid lately)
@ Minnesota 0-0 (uglier)
Detroit 0-0 (very good team again)

Home/Away
5-5

Previous record against schedule
9-3

Games against teams with winning percentages of:
(4) 575+
(0) 500-575
(2) 425-500
(4) 425-

Winning percentage of opposition:
.473

Best reasonable outlook (leaving the extremes of 10 games win or loss streaks aside):
Utah could easily win their first 9 games, with the only two really tough ones being Denver and Golden State. We’ll give them a loss to Boston, as a ten games streak is unlikely, even for a best case. 9-1.

Worst reasonable outlook:
Lose to Denver, Golden State, and Boston. A revived Sac-town creates a loss, as does Atlanta. 5-5.

Likely outlook:
Beat NO, lose to Denver and Detroit, then lose one other game to either GS at home or one of the weaker teams surprise the Jazz on the road. 7-3.


lastly:

Portland
(regular season record against listed after team name):

Denver 2-1 (Denver won)
Chicago 1-0 (still ugly)
@ Detroit 1-0 (a very good team again)
@ Indiana 0-1 (better than record)
@ Houston 0-2 (team getting tougher)
@ Dallas 1-1 (playing well, but trade rumors swirl)
Sacramento 1-0 (team is coming back a bit)
Seattle 1-0 (can surprise, but bad)
@ Seattle 1-0 (can surprise, but bad)
Boston 0-1 (slipping a bit, but very good)

Home/Away
5-5

Previous record against schedule
8-6

Games against teams with winning percentages of:
(5) 575+
(0) 500-575
(1) 425-500
(4) 425-

Winning percentage of opposition:
.515

Best reasonable outlook (leaving the extremes of 10 games win or loss streaks aside):
After losing to Denver at home, they could beat Chicago, win 3 of the 4 games on the road, then win three before losing to Boston at home. 7-3.

Worst reasonable outlook:
Lose to Denver at home, then Detroit, Houston and Dallas away, then Boston at home. Additionally, Indiana, Sac or Seattle surprises once. 4-6.

Likely outlook:
Lose to Denver, lose two of the 4 road games, and then win out till they lose to Boston. 6-4

Tomorrow:
Comparing the teams’ schedules and chances.